Championship · Matchweek 11

Millwall FC vs Lincoln City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Millwall FC win34%
Draw28%
Lincoln City FC win38%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Under 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.22

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Millwall FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. The model credits Lincoln City FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–111.5%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 0–09.4%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 0–27.0%
  • 2–06.2%

Team comparison

StatisticMillwall FCLincoln City FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.141.57
Goals per match1.860.86
Goals conceded per match2.140.86
Home / away goals scored93
Home / away goals conceded50
Last 5 points58
Last 5 goals scored94
Last 5 goals conceded103
Win percentage29%43%

Millwall FC recent form

LWLDD

Lincoln City FC recent form

DDWWL

Recent form

Millwall FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dvs West Ham United FC2–2
  • Dat Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–3
  • Wvs Bolton Wanderers FC4–0
  • Lvs Wrexham AFC0–3

Lincoln City FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 3 conceded

  • Lvs Swansea City AFC1–2
  • Wat Bristol City FC1–0
  • Wat Preston North End FC1–0
  • Dvs Southampton FC1–1
  • Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.