Championship · Matchweek 11

Watford FC vs Charlton Athletic FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Watford FC win50%
Draw26%
Charlton Athletic FC win24%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Over 3.5 goals
24%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.51 – 0.96

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Watford FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.7%
  • 1–112.2%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–08.4%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–25.9%
  • 3–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticWatford FCCharlton Athletic FC
Matches played87
Points per match1.001.29
Goals per match0.880.71
Goals conceded per match1.251.29
Home / away goals scored64
Home / away goals conceded59
Last 5 points33
Last 5 goals scored32
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage25%29%

Watford FC recent form

LLWLL

Charlton Athletic FC recent form

DLDDL

Recent form

Watford FC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Bristol City FC0–1
  • Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
  • Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
  • Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
  • Lat Swansea City AFC0–2

Charlton Athletic FC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Cardiff City FC1–3
  • Dvs Portsmouth FC0–0
  • Dvs Queens Park Rangers FC0–0
  • Lat Stoke City FC0–4
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.