Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 11
Watford FC vs Charlton Athletic FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Watford FC win36%
Draw25%
Charlton Athletic FC win39%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 77%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.35 – 1.43
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Watford FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–28.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–26.3%
- 0–06.2%
- 2–25.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Watford FC | Charlton Athletic FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 0.87 | 0.79 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.53 | 1.57 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 16 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 21% |
Watford FC recent form
WLLWD
Charlton Athletic FC recent form
LLLLW
Recent form
Watford FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 13 conceded
- Lat Cardiff City FC1–5
- Lvs Burnley FC0–4
- Lat Bristol City FC0–1
- Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
- Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
Charlton Athletic FC
0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Burnley FC2–2
- Dvs Bristol City FC1–1
- Lat Cardiff City FC1–3
- Dvs Portsmouth FC0–0
- Dvs Queens Park Rangers FC0–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.