Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 10
Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 14 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Queens Park Rangers FC win43%
Draw29%
Derby County FC win28%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 63%
- BTTS yes
- 43%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 64%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 17%
- BTTS no
- 57%
- Expected goals
- 1.24 – 0.93
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Queens Park Rangers FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given Queens Park Rangers FC's home defensive numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–011.5%
- 0–110.7%
- 2–08.8%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–26.1%
- 0–25.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Queens Park Rangers FC | Derby County FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.43 | 0.71 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.86 | 1.71 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 14% |
Queens Park Rangers FC recent form
WLDDD
Derby County FC recent form
WLLLD
Recent form
Queens Park Rangers FC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs Preston North End FC2–2
- Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1
- Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
- Lvs Middlesbrough FC0–1
- Wvs Cardiff City FC2–1
Derby County FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Burnley FC1–1
- Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
- Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
- Lat West Ham United FC0–3
- Wat Portsmouth FC2–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Championship
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.