Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 10
Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 14 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Queens Park Rangers FC win42%
Draw30%
Derby County FC win28%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 33%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 67%
- BTTS yes
- 40%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 60%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 15%
- BTTS no
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 1.15 – 0.87
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Queens Park Rangers FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given Queens Park Rangers FC's home defensive numbers. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.3%
- 0–013.3%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.6%
- 2–08.8%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–25.7%
- 0–25.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Queens Park Rangers FC | Derby County FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.71 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.21 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 16 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 14% |
Queens Park Rangers FC recent form
LWLDW
Derby County FC recent form
LDLLW
Recent form
Queens Park Rangers FC
0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat West Ham United FC1–1
- Dvs Preston North End FC2–2
- Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1
- Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
- Lvs Middlesbrough FC0–1
Derby County FC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 8 conceded
- Dvs Wrexham AFC1–1
- Dat Burnley FC1–1
- Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
- Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
- Lat West Ham United FC0–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 September 2026
Last updated: 14 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.