UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 4

PSV vs Club Brugge KV Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

PSV win43%
Draw20%
Club Brugge KV win36%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
75%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
25%
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.94

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees PSV's home attacking output as weaker than the UEFA Champions League baseline. Club Brugge KV carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–17.1%
  • 1–26.9%
  • 3–15.3%
  • 3–25.2%
  • 2–34.7%
  • 1–34.4%

Team comparison

StatisticPSVClub Brugge KV
Matches played22
Points per match0.501.50
Goals per match0.503.00
Goals conceded per match1.003.00
Home / away goals scored14
Home / away goals conceded13
Last 5 points13
Last 5 goals scored16
Last 5 goals conceded26
Win percentage0%50%

PSV recent form

DL

Club Brugge KV recent form

LW

Recent form

PSV

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat RB Leipzig0–1
  • Wvs SC Heerenveen2–0
  • Lat FC Twente '652–3
  • Wvs Sparta Rotterdam4–1
  • Dvs FK Shakhtar Donetsk1–1

Club Brugge KV

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 13 conceded

  • Wat Inter Milan4–3
  • Lvs Aston Villa FC2–3
  • Lat Atlético Madrid1–4
  • Dvs Atlético Madrid3–3
  • Wvs Olympique de Marseille3–0

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 15 October 2026
Last updated: 15 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
639
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
56.7%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.8%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.