Championship
Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC
Home
42%
Draw
30%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 33%BTTS: 40%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 14
Portsmouth FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 3 Nov, 19:45 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 14
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Portsmouth FC win24%
Draw24%
Swansea City AFC win52%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.07 – 1.69
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Portsmouth FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Swansea City AFC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Swansea City AFC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Swansea City AFC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–06.8%
- 0–06.3%
- 2–16.1%
- 1–35.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Portsmouth FC | Swansea City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.14 | 2.22 |
| Goals per match | 1.14 | 1.56 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 67% |
Portsmouth FC recent form
LWDDL
Swansea City AFC recent form
LWWWW
Recent form
Portsmouth FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded
- Lat Southampton FC0–1
- Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC2–2
- Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
- Wvs Cardiff City FC2–0
- Lvs Derby County FC0–2
Swansea City AFC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Millwall FC1–0
- Wvs Norwich City FC2–1
- Wat Lincoln City FC2–1
- Wvs Burnley FC3–1
- Lat Southampton FC1–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 October 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 626
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.8%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.7%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.5%
- Exact score
- 11.0%
Related predictions
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Watford FC vs Charlton Athletic FC
Home
42%
Draw
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Away
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West Bromwich Albion FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC
Home
43%
Draw
28%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.