Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6
Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 10 Oct, 20:45 (CEST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- Paris, France
United Matchday prediction
Paris Saint-Germain win45%
Draw23%
Le Mans FC win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 1.83 – 1.55
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Le Mans FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.2%
- 2–05.7%
- 3–15.4%
- 0–15.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Paris Saint-Germain | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.30 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 10% |
Paris Saint-Germain recent form
WWWWW
Le Mans FC recent form
LLDLD
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Olympique de Marseille2–1
- Wat Stade Brestois 291–0
- Wvs ŠK Slovan Bratislava6–1
- Lvs AS Monaco FC1–2
- Dat Lille OSC2–2
Le Mans FC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs FC Lorient2–1
- Dvs Racing Club de Lens2–2
- Dat OGC Nice1–1
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19012–3
- Dvs Stade Brestois 292–2
Team news
Paris Saint-Germain
- United ease troubles with sensational Roma comeback, PSG rampant in Champions League
- Bradley Barcola transfer news: Arsenal could hijack Liverpool's move for PSG winger - Paper Talk
- Can PSG win a third straight Champions League without injured Kvaratskhelia?
- Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal, Chelsea, City tracking PSG star Doué
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.