Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6

Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sat 10 Oct, 20:45 (CEST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
Paris, France

United Matchday prediction

Paris Saint-Germain win45%
Draw23%
Le Mans FC win33%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.55

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.7%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.3%
  • 2–05.7%
  • 3–15.4%
  • 0–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticParis Saint-GermainLe Mans FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.601.20
Goals per match1.601.80
Goals conceded per match1.401.80
Home / away goals scored13
Home / away goals conceded24
Last 5 points86
Last 5 goals scored89
Last 5 goals conceded79
Win percentage40%20%

Paris Saint-Germain recent form

DDLWW

Le Mans FC recent form

DLDDW

Recent form

Paris Saint-Germain

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Olympique de Marseille2–1
  • Wat Stade Brestois 291–0
  • Wvs ŠK Slovan Bratislava6–1
  • Lvs AS Monaco FC1–2
  • Dat Lille OSC2–2

Le Mans FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wvs FC Lorient2–1
  • Dvs Racing Club de Lens2–2
  • Dat OGC Nice1–1
  • Lat Stade Rennais FC 19012–3
  • Dvs Stade Brestois 292–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.