Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 28 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 28 Nov, 20:45 (CET)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- Paris, France
United Matchday prediction
Paris Saint-Germain win53%
Draw27%
FC Lorient win20%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 63%
- BTTS yes
- 40%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 63%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 17%
- BTTS no
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 1.40 – 0.75
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Paris Saint-Germain's home scoring output above the Ligue 1 average. The model credits FC Lorient with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Paris Saint-Germain's home defensive numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.3%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–011.6%
- 2–011.4%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 3–05.4%
- 1–24.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Paris Saint-Germain | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.30 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 2.20 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 40% |
Paris Saint-Germain recent form
WWWWW
FC Lorient recent form
WWDLW
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 18 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs ES Troyes AC1–0
- Wat Villarreal CF6–0
- Wat Le Havre AC5–1
- Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–0
- Wvs Barcelona4–2
FC Lorient
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 2 conceded
- Wat Le Havre AC2–0
- Lvs Stade Brestois 290–2
- Dat Angers SCO0–0
- Wvs AS Monaco FC1–0
- Wvs Paris FC1–0
Team news
Paris Saint-Germain
- United ease troubles with sensational Roma comeback, PSG rampant in Champions League
- Bradley Barcola transfer news: Arsenal could hijack Liverpool's move for PSG winger - Paper Talk
- Can PSG win a third straight Champions League without injured Kvaratskhelia?
- Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal, Chelsea, City tracking PSG star Doué
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.