Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5

Paris FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 16:15 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Paris FC win58%
Draw20%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win22%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
2.19 – 1.30

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

RC Strasbourg Alsace have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. RC Strasbourg Alsace carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Paris FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–18.7%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 1–06.7%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 1–25.7%
  • 3–05.3%

Team comparison

StatisticParis FCRC Strasbourg Alsace
Matches played55
Points per match2.201.40
Goals per match1.602.00
Goals conceded per match0.602.00
Home / away goals scored57
Home / away goals conceded18
Last 5 points117
Last 5 goals scored810
Last 5 goals conceded310
Win percentage60%40%

Paris FC recent form

DWWDW

RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form

LWWDL

Recent form

Paris FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded

  • Dvs Olympique Lyonnais0–0
  • Wat Olympique de Marseille3–2
  • Wvs OGC Nice3–0
  • Dat ES Troyes AC0–0
  • Wvs Paris Saint-Germain2–1

RC Strasbourg Alsace

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 12 conceded

  • Dvs AS Monaco FC1–1
  • Wat ES Troyes AC6–2
  • Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
  • Lat Olympique de Marseille0–4
  • Wvs AS Monaco FC5–4

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.