Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
Paris FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 16:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Paris FC win58%
Draw20%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win22%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 2.19 – 1.30
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
RC Strasbourg Alsace have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. RC Strasbourg Alsace carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Paris FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 1–18.7%
- 2–07.3%
- 3–16.9%
- 1–06.7%
- 2–26.2%
- 1–25.7%
- 3–05.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Paris FC | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.70 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 16 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 30% |
Paris FC recent form
LWLWW
RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form
LLLWL
Recent form
Paris FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded
- Dvs Olympique Lyonnais0–0
- Wat Olympique de Marseille3–2
- Wvs OGC Nice3–0
- Dat ES Troyes AC0–0
- Wvs Paris Saint-Germain2–1
RC Strasbourg Alsace
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 12 conceded
- Dvs AS Monaco FC1–1
- Wat ES Troyes AC6–2
- Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
- Lat Olympique de Marseille0–4
- Wvs AS Monaco FC5–4
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.