Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4
Paris FC vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Paris FC win42%
Draw25%
Olympique Lyonnais win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS yes
- 58%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS no
- 42%
- Expected goals
- 1.56 – 1.35
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Paris FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits Olympique Lyonnais with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Paris FC's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–17.4%
- 2–06.6%
- 2–26.0%
- 0–05.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Paris FC | Olympique Lyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 50% |
Paris FC recent form
LWLWW
Olympique Lyonnais recent form
LWLWL
Recent form
Paris FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat Olympique de Marseille3–2
- Wvs OGC Nice3–0
- Dat ES Troyes AC0–0
- Wvs Paris Saint-Germain2–1
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19011–2
Olympique Lyonnais
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs AJ Auxerre3–1
- Dvs Le Havre AC1–1
- Wat Toulouse FC2–0
- Lvs Racing Club de Lens0–4
- Lat Toulouse FC1–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.