Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4

Paris FC vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Paris FC win42%

Draw25%

Olympique Lyonnais win33%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 55%
Under 2.5 goals: 45%
BTTS yes: 58%

Over 1.5 goals: 79%
Over 3.5 goals: 33%
BTTS no: 42%
Expected goals: 1.56 – 1.35

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Paris FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits Olympique Lyonnais with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Paris FC's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–111.5%
2–18.9%
1–08.5%
1–27.7%
0–17.4%
2–06.6%
2–26.0%
0–05.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	Paris FC	Olympique Lyonnais
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.20	2.20
Goals per match	1.60	2.00
Goals conceded per match	0.60	0.40
Home / away goals scored	5	2
Home / away goals conceded	1	0
Last 5 points	11	11
Last 5 goals scored	8	10
Last 5 goals conceded	3	2
Win percentage	60%	60%

Paris FC recent form

DWWDW

Olympique Lyonnais recent form

WDWDW

Recent form

Paris FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded

Wat Olympique de Marseille3–2
Wvs OGC Nice3–0
Dat ES Troyes AC0–0
Wvs Paris Saint-Germain2–1
Lat Stade Rennais FC 19011–2

Olympique Lyonnais

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

Wvs AJ Auxerre3–1
Dvs Le Havre AC1–1
Wat Toulouse FC2–0
Lvs Racing Club de Lens0–4
Lat Toulouse FC1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.