Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9

Paris FC vs AS Monaco FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 1 Nov, 16:15 (GMT+0)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Paris FC win44%
Draw27%
AS Monaco FC win29%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Under 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.03

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits AS Monaco FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Paris FC's home defensive numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–012.6%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–09.4%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 1–26.6%
  • 0–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticParis FCAS Monaco FC
Matches played66
Points per match1.832.33
Goals per match1.331.67
Goals conceded per match0.670.83
Home / away goals scored54
Home / away goals conceded12
Last 5 points1011
Last 5 goals scored89
Last 5 goals conceded45
Win percentage50%67%

Paris FC recent form

WWDWL

AS Monaco FC recent form

WWDWD

Recent form

Paris FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat FC Lorient0–1
  • Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–1
  • Dvs Olympique Lyonnais0–0
  • Wat Olympique de Marseille3–2
  • Wvs OGC Nice3–0

AS Monaco FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
  • Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
  • Dat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–1
  • Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1
  • Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
590
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
56.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.0%
Exact score
10.8%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.