UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 4

PAE AEK vs Real Madrid Prediction

Wed 4 Nov, 17:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Wed 4 Nov, 17:45 (GMT+0)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

PAE AEK win59%

Draw19%

Real Madrid win22%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 75%
Under 2.5 goals: 25%
BTTS yes: 70%

Over 1.5 goals: 90%
Over 3.5 goals: 55%
BTTS no: 30%
Expected goals: 2.43 – 1.47

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given PAE AEK's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.8%
1–17.2%
3–17.1%
2–26.5%
2–06.0%
1–25.3%
3–25.2%
1–04.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	PAE AEK	Real Madrid
Matches played	1	1
Points per match	3.00	3.00
Goals per match	1.00	2.00
Goals conceded per match	0.00	1.00
Home / away goals scored	1	0
Home / away goals conceded	0	0
Last 5 points	3	3
Last 5 goals scored	1	2
Last 5 goals conceded	0	1
Win percentage	100%	100%

PAE AEK recent form

Real Madrid recent form

Recent form

PAE AEK

1W 0D 0L in the last 1 · 1 scored, 0 conceded

Wvs LASK Linz1–0

Real Madrid

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded

Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
Lat Atlético Madrid1–2
Wat Elche CF3–2
Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
Wvs Inter Milan2–1

Team news

PAE AEK

No tracked team news threads open.

All PAE AEK news →

Real Madrid

All Real Madrid news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.