UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 4

Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 3 Nov, 17:45 (GMT+0)
Kick-off (local)
Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 (GMT+3)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
Istanbul, Turkey

United Matchday prediction

Galatasaray win37%
Draw20%
VfB Stuttgart win42%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
1.98 – 2.11

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

VfB Stuttgart's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. VfB Stuttgart arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–17.0%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 1–35.2%
  • 2–35.1%
  • 3–24.8%
  • 3–14.6%

Team comparison

StatisticGalatasarayVfB Stuttgart
Matches played11
Points per match0.003.00
Goals per match1.003.00
Goals conceded per match3.001.00
Home / away goals scored00
Home / away goals conceded00
Last 5 points03
Last 5 goals scored13
Last 5 goals conceded31
Win percentage0%100%

Galatasaray recent form

L

VfB Stuttgart recent form

W

Recent form

Galatasaray

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3
  • Lat Liverpool FC0–4
  • Wvs Liverpool FC1–0
  • Lat Juventus2–3
  • Wvs Juventus5–2

VfB Stuttgart

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat SC Paderborn 072–0
  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–1
  • Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
  • Wvs Viking FK3–1
  • Wvs 1. FC Köln4–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 October 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
609
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.0%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.5%
Exact score
11.2%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.