UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 2

Villarreal CF vs SSC Napoli Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Villarreal CF win58%
Draw21%
SSC Napoli win21%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.17

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.6%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 3–05.7%
  • 1–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticVillarreal CFSSC Napoli
Matches played44
Points per match0.750.75
Goals per match2.001.50
Goals conceded per match3.502.75
Home / away goals scored32
Home / away goals conceded77
Last 5 points33
Last 5 goals scored86
Last 5 goals conceded1411
Win percentage25%25%

Villarreal CF recent form

LWLL

SSC Napoli recent form

LLWL

Recent form

Villarreal CF

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Real Madrid0–1
  • Wvs Levante UD3–1
  • Wat Málaga CF3–1
  • Lvs Real Betis Balompié1–2
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund2–3

SSC Napoli

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Frosinone Calcio3–0
  • Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
  • Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
  • Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
  • Lat Inter Milan2–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.