Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5

Olympique Lyonnais vs Stade Rennais FC 1901 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Olympique Lyonnais win41%
Draw24%
Stade Rennais FC 1901 win35%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.50

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Stade Rennais FC 1901 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 1–07.2%
  • 0–16.6%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 2–05.8%
  • 0–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticOlympique LyonnaisStade Rennais FC 1901
Matches played55
Points per match2.202.00
Goals per match2.001.60
Goals conceded per match0.401.80
Home / away goals scored82
Home / away goals conceded25
Last 5 points1110
Last 5 goals scored108
Last 5 goals conceded29
Win percentage60%60%

Olympique Lyonnais recent form

WDWDW

Stade Rennais FC 1901 recent form

DWWWL

Recent form

Olympique Lyonnais

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat Paris FC0–0
  • Wvs AJ Auxerre3–1
  • Dvs Le Havre AC1–1
  • Wat Toulouse FC2–0
  • Lvs Racing Club de Lens0–4

Stade Rennais FC 1901

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wvs Olympique de Marseille1–0
  • Wat Angers SCO2–1
  • Wvs Le Mans FC3–2
  • Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2
  • Lat Olympique de Marseille1–3

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.