Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7

Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Olympique Lyonnais win80%
Draw14%
OGC Nice win6%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
39%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
61%
Expected goals
2.48 – 0.55

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Olympique Lyonnais, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects fewer away goals given Olympique Lyonnais's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Olympique Lyonnais, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–014.9%
  • 3–012.3%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 4–07.6%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 1–16.6%
  • 0–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticOlympique LyonnaisOGC Nice
Matches played55
Points per match2.201.00
Goals per match2.000.60
Goals conceded per match0.401.20
Home / away goals scored80
Home / away goals conceded24
Last 5 points115
Last 5 goals scored103
Last 5 goals conceded26
Win percentage60%20%

Olympique Lyonnais recent form

WDWDW

OGC Nice recent form

DLDLW

Recent form

Olympique Lyonnais

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–0
  • Dat Paris FC0–0
  • Wvs AJ Auxerre3–1
  • Dvs Le Havre AC1–1
  • Wat Toulouse FC2–0

OGC Nice

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Lille OSC2–1
  • Lat AJ Auxerre0–1
  • Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
  • Lat Paris FC0–3
  • Dvs FC Lorient0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.