Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Olympique Lyonnais win76%
Draw16%
OGC Nice win8%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS yes
- 42%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS no
- 58%
- Expected goals
- 2.36 – 0.62
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Olympique Lyonnais, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects fewer away goals given Olympique Lyonnais's home defensive numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–014.1%
- 1–012.0%
- 3–011.1%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–17.4%
- 3–16.9%
- 4–06.6%
- 0–05.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Olympique Lyonnais | OGC Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 50% |
Olympique Lyonnais recent form
LWLWL
OGC Nice recent form
WLWWW
Recent form
Olympique Lyonnais
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Lat Racing Club de Lens1–2
- Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–0
- Dat Paris FC0–0
- Wvs AJ Auxerre3–1
- Dvs Le Havre AC1–1
OGC Nice
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–1
- Wvs Lille OSC2–1
- Lat AJ Auxerre0–1
- Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
- Lat Paris FC0–3
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.