Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12

Olympique Lyonnais vs AS Monaco FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 29 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Olympique Lyonnais win58%
Draw24%
AS Monaco FC win18%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes
45%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
55%
Expected goals
1.65 – 0.80

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Olympique Lyonnais's home scoring output above the Ligue 1 average. The model credits AS Monaco FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Olympique Lyonnais's home defensive numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.2%
  • 2–011.7%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 0–16.9%
  • 3–06.4%
  • 3–15.2%

Team comparison

StatisticOlympique LyonnaisAS Monaco FC
Matches played1010
Points per match1.701.60
Goals per match1.501.30
Goals conceded per match0.901.10
Home / away goals scored126
Home / away goals conceded37
Last 5 points63
Last 5 goals scored55
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage50%40%

Olympique Lyonnais recent form

LWLWL

AS Monaco FC recent form

DLDLD

Recent form

Olympique Lyonnais

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Stade Brestois 290–2
  • Wvs Angers SCO2–0
  • Lat Paris Saint-Germain0–2
  • Wvs OGC Nice2–1
  • Lat Racing Club de Lens1–2

AS Monaco FC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dat Le Mans FC1–1
  • Lat Paris FC1–3
  • Dvs Lille OSC1–1
  • Lat FC Lorient0–1
  • Dvs Toulouse FC2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.