Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction

Sun 6 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 6 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Olympique de Marseille win49%

Draw25%

Paris FC win26%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 51%
Under 2.5 goals: 49%
BTTS yes: 53%

Over 1.5 goals: 75%
Over 3.5 goals: 29%
BTTS no: 47%
Expected goals: 1.59 – 1.11

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Olympique de Marseille's home scoring output above the Ligue 1 average. The model credits Paris FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Olympique de Marseille's home defensive numbers. Paris FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

1–111.8%
1–010.7%
2–19.4%
2–08.5%
0–17.4%
0–06.7%
1–26.6%
2–25.2%

Team comparison

Statistic	Olympique de Marseille	Paris FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.60	2.20
Goals per match	1.40	1.60
Goals conceded per match	1.60	0.60
Home / away goals scored	7	3
Home / away goals conceded	5	2
Last 5 points	3	11
Last 5 goals scored	7	8
Last 5 goals conceded	8	3
Win percentage	20%	60%

Olympique de Marseille recent form

WLLLL

Paris FC recent form

DWWDW

Recent form

Olympique de Marseille

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

Lat AS Monaco FC0–2
Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace4–0
Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19013–1
Wat Le Havre AC1–0
Lat FC Nantes0–3

Paris FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 3 conceded

Wvs OGC Nice3–0
Dat ES Troyes AC0–0
Wvs Paris Saint-Germain2–1
Lat Stade Rennais FC 19011–2
Wvs Stade Brestois 294–0

Team news

Olympique de Marseille

Mason Greenwood signs with Fenerbahçe from Marseille

All Olympique de Marseille news →

Paris FC

No tracked team news threads open.

All Paris FC news →

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.