Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Olympique de Marseille vs Le Mans FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 22 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Olympique de Marseille win79%
Draw12%
Le Mans FC win9%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 80%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 20%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 93%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 62%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 3.23 – 1.05
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Olympique de Marseille's home scoring output above the Ligue 1 average. Away defensive numbers work against Le Mans FC, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Olympique de Marseille, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–18.2%
- 3–07.8%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–07.3%
- 4–16.6%
- 4–06.3%
- 1–14.7%
- 1–04.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Olympique de Marseille | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 13 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 15 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 10% |
Olympique de Marseille recent form
WWWWW
Le Mans FC recent form
LLDLD
Recent form
Olympique de Marseille
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Racing Club de Lens2–1
- Wvs Toulouse FC2–0
- Wvs Le Havre AC4–3
- Wat Angers SCO5–2
- Wat ES Troyes AC2–0
Le Mans FC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 10 conceded
- Dvs AS Monaco FC1–1
- Lat ES Troyes AC0–2
- Dat AJ Auxerre1–1
- Lvs Toulouse FC0–3
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain1–3
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.