Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6
OGC Nice vs RC Strasbourg Alsace Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
OGC Nice win37%
Draw24%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win38%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 1.52 – 1.54
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees OGC Nice's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. RC Strasbourg Alsace have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. RC Strasbourg Alsace carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–17.2%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–26.4%
- 0–25.6%
- 2–05.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | OGC Nice | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 16 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 30% |
OGC Nice recent form
WLWWW
RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form
LLLWL
Recent form
OGC Nice
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Lille OSC2–1
- Lat AJ Auxerre0–1
- Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
- Lat Paris FC0–3
- Dvs FC Lorient0–0
RC Strasbourg Alsace
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Paris FC1–2
- Dvs AS Monaco FC1–1
- Wat ES Troyes AC6–2
- Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
- Lat Olympique de Marseille0–4
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.