Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6

OGC Nice vs RC Strasbourg Alsace Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

OGC Nice win37%
Draw24%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.54

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees OGC Nice's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. RC Strasbourg Alsace have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. RC Strasbourg Alsace carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 0–25.6%
  • 2–05.4%

Team comparison

StatisticOGC NiceRC Strasbourg Alsace
Matches played55
Points per match1.001.40
Goals per match0.602.00
Goals conceded per match1.202.00
Home / away goals scored37
Home / away goals conceded28
Last 5 points57
Last 5 goals scored310
Last 5 goals conceded610
Win percentage20%40%

OGC Nice recent form

DLDLW

RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form

LWWDL

Recent form

OGC Nice

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Lille OSC2–1
  • Lat AJ Auxerre0–1
  • Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
  • Lat Paris FC0–3
  • Dvs FC Lorient0–0

RC Strasbourg Alsace

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat Paris FC1–2
  • Dvs AS Monaco FC1–1
  • Wat ES Troyes AC6–2
  • Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
  • Lat Olympique de Marseille0–4

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.