Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5

OGC Nice vs Lille OSC Prediction

Sun 20 Sept, 16:15

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 20 Sept, 16:15 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

OGC Nice win17%

Draw27%

Lille OSC win56%

Predicted score: 0–1
Over 2.5 goals: 34%
Under 2.5 goals: 66%
BTTS yes: 36%

Over 1.5 goals: 61%
Over 3.5 goals: 16%
BTTS no: 64%
Expected goals: 0.65 – 1.43

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees OGC Nice's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. The model credits Lille OSC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given OGC Nice's home defensive numbers. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture.

Most likely scorelines

0–117.9%
0–212.8%
0–012.5%
1–111.6%
1–28.3%
1–08.1%
0–36.1%
1–33.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	OGC Nice	Lille OSC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.00	2.00
Goals per match	0.60	1.60
Goals conceded per match	1.20	0.80
Home / away goals scored	3	4
Home / away goals conceded	2	2
Last 5 points	5	10
Last 5 goals scored	3	8
Last 5 goals conceded	6	4
Win percentage	20%	60%

OGC Nice recent form

DLDLW

Lille OSC recent form

WDWWL

Recent form

OGC Nice

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 5 conceded

Lat AJ Auxerre0–1
Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
Lat Paris FC0–3
Dvs FC Lorient0–0
Dvs FC Metz0–0

Lille OSC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded

Wvs ES Troyes AC2–0
Lvs Real Betis Balompié2–3
Wat Toulouse FC1–0
Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2
Wat Angers SCO2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.