Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
OGC Nice vs Lille OSC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 16:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
OGC Nice win17%
Draw27%
Lille OSC win56%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 34%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 66%
- BTTS yes
- 36%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 61%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 16%
- BTTS no
- 64%
- Expected goals
- 0.65 – 1.43
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees OGC Nice's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. The model credits Lille OSC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given OGC Nice's home defensive numbers. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–117.9%
- 0–212.8%
- 0–012.5%
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.3%
- 1–08.1%
- 0–36.1%
- 1–33.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | OGC Nice | Lille OSC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 60% |
OGC Nice recent form
WLWWW
Lille OSC recent form
WDDWW
Recent form
OGC Nice
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 5 conceded
- Lat AJ Auxerre0–1
- Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
- Lat Paris FC0–3
- Dvs FC Lorient0–0
- Dvs FC Metz0–0
Lille OSC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs ES Troyes AC2–0
- Lvs Real Betis Balompié2–3
- Wat Toulouse FC1–0
- Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2
- Wat Angers SCO2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.