Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
OGC Nice vs ES Troyes AC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 28 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
OGC Nice win65%
Draw22%
ES Troyes AC win13%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS yes
- 42%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 72%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS no
- 58%
- Expected goals
- 1.86 – 0.69
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
ES Troyes AC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. OGC Nice's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour OGC Nice, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.5%
- 2–013.5%
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 3–08.4%
- 0–07.8%
- 3–15.8%
- 0–15.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | OGC Nice | ES Troyes AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.70 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 20% |
OGC Nice recent form
WLWWW
ES Troyes AC recent form
LLDWL
Recent form
OGC Nice
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Angers SCO2–0
- Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19015–2
- Wat Stade Brestois 292–1
- Lat Olympique Lyonnais1–2
- Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–1
ES Troyes AC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain0–1
- Wvs Le Mans FC2–0
- Dat Toulouse FC0–0
- Lvs Racing Club de Lens1–3
- Lvs Olympique de Marseille0–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.