Premier League · Matchweek 3

Nottingham Forest FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Nottingham Forest FC win58%
Draw24%
Tottenham Hotspur FC win18%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes
45%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
55%
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.80

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Nottingham Forest FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Tottenham Hotspur FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.2%
  • 2–011.7%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 0–16.9%
  • 3–06.5%
  • 3–15.2%

Team comparison

StatisticNottingham Forest FCTottenham Hotspur FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.000.40
Goals per match0.800.40
Goals conceded per match1.001.60
Home / away goals scored00
Home / away goals conceded23
Last 5 points52
Last 5 goals scored42
Last 5 goals conceded58
Win percentage20%0%

Nottingham Forest FC recent form

LDDWL

Tottenham Hotspur FC recent form

LLDDL

Recent form

Nottingham Forest FC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dat Liverpool FC2–2
  • Lvs Leeds United FC0–1
  • Dvs AFC Bournemouth1–1
  • Lat Manchester United FC2–3
  • Dvs Newcastle United FC1–1

Tottenham Hotspur FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Newcastle United FC0–2
  • Lat Brentford FC0–3
  • Wvs Everton FC1–0
  • Lat Chelsea FC1–2
  • Dvs Leeds United FC1–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.