Premier League · Matchweek 1

Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Nottingham Forest FC win51%
Draw24%
Leeds United FC win25%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.12

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Nottingham Forest FC and Leeds United FC both sit close to the Premier League statistical average, so the model's expectation is driven mainly by home advantage.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 0–16.7%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 0–05.9%
  • 3–15.5%

Team comparison

StatisticNottingham Forest FCLeeds United FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.001.80
Goals per match0.801.40
Goals conceded per match1.000.60
Home / away goals scored02
Home / away goals conceded21
Last 5 points59
Last 5 goals scored47
Last 5 goals conceded53
Win percentage20%40%

Nottingham Forest FC recent form

LDDWL

Leeds United FC recent form

WDDWD

Recent form

Nottingham Forest FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs AFC Bournemouth1–1
  • Lat Manchester United FC2–3
  • Dvs Newcastle United FC1–1
  • Wat Chelsea FC3–1
  • Wat Sunderland AFC5–0

Leeds United FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat West Ham United FC0–3
  • Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–0
  • Dat Tottenham Hotspur FC1–1
  • Wvs Burnley FC3–1
  • Dat AFC Bournemouth2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.