Premier League · Matchweek 1

Newcastle United FC vs Liverpool FC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Newcastle United FC win43%
Draw21%
Liverpool FC win35%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Under 2.5 goals
28%
BTTS yes
71%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
51%
BTTS no
29%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.76

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against Liverpool FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Liverpool FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 118.4%
  • 218.2%
  • 127.4%
  • 227.2%
  • 315.3%
  • 104.8%
  • 324.7%
  • 204.7%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.