Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 1
Newcastle United FC vs Liverpool FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 23 Aug, 16:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 1
- Venue
- St James' Park, Newcastle, England
United Matchday prediction
Newcastle United FC win82%
Draw14%
Liverpool FC win4%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS yes
- 29%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS no
- 71%
- Expected goals
- 2.37 – 0.38
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–017.9%
- 1–015.1%
- 3–014.1%
- 4–08.4%
- 2–16.9%
- 0–06.4%
- 1–15.8%
- 3–15.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Newcastle United FC | Liverpool FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 40% |
Newcastle United FC recent form
DWDLW
Liverpool FC recent form
DDWDW
Recent form
Newcastle United FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Fulham FC0–2
- Wvs West Ham United FC3–1
- Dat Nottingham Forest FC1–1
- Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC3–1
- Lat Arsenal FC0–1
Liverpool FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded
- Dvs Brentford FC1–1
- Lat Aston Villa FC2–4
- Dvs Chelsea FC1–1
- Lat Manchester United FC2–3
- Wvs Crystal Palace FC3–1
Team news
Newcastle United FC
- Aston Villa sign Mbaye and Harwood-Bellis as Newcastle get Fernandez-Pardo
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo transfer news: Newcastle closing in on deal to sign Lille forward ahead of transfer dea
- Newcastle have a long-standing interest in Fernandez-Pardo
- Francisco Moreno: Pumas prop joins Newcastle Red Bulls on one-year deal
Liverpool FC
- Transfer rumors, news: Liverpool eye Endrick in case Minteh deal fails
- Transfer news: Crystal Palace chairman Steve Parish tells Liverpool accepting £50m Ismaila Sarr bid was 'never
- Cody Gakpo transfer news: Man City's proposed £80m move for Liverpool forward close to collapse
- Liverpool transfer news: No approaches for Harvey Elliott or Federico Chiesa but club willing to listen to off
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 23 Aug, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
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Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.