Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 3
Newcastle United FC vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 12:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- St James' Park, Newcastle, England
United Matchday prediction
Newcastle United FC win55%
Draw22%
AFC Bournemouth win23%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 2.00 – 1.23
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Newcastle United FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–16.5%
- 1–26.0%
- 2–26.0%
- 3–05.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Newcastle United FC | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 0% |
Newcastle United FC recent form
DWDLW
AFC Bournemouth recent form
LDDDL
Recent form
Newcastle United FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC2–0
- Dvs Liverpool FC2–2
- Lat Fulham FC0–2
- Wvs West Ham United FC3–1
- Dat Nottingham Forest FC1–1
AFC Bournemouth
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs Everton FC1–1
- Lat Manchester City FC1–2
- Dat Nottingham Forest FC1–1
- Dvs Manchester City FC1–1
- Wat Fulham FC1–0
Team news
Newcastle United FC
- Aston Villa sign Mbaye and Harwood-Bellis as Newcastle get Fernandez-Pardo
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo transfer news: Newcastle closing in on deal to sign Lille forward ahead of transfer dea
- Newcastle have a long-standing interest in Fernandez-Pardo
- Francisco Moreno: Pumas prop joins Newcastle Red Bulls on one-year deal
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 12:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.