Premier League · Matchweek 8

Manchester United FC vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
Old Trafford, Manchester, England

United Matchday prediction

Manchester United FC win56%
Draw21%
AFC Bournemouth win23%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.31

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Manchester United FC's home scoring output above the Premier League average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–06.9%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 1–25.9%
  • 3–05.1%

Team comparison

StatisticManchester United FCAFC Bournemouth
Matches played55
Points per match1.000.60
Goals per match1.601.20
Goals conceded per match1.601.60
Home / away goals scored53
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points53
Last 5 goals scored86
Last 5 goals conceded88
Win percentage20%0%

Manchester United FC recent form

LWDLD

AFC Bournemouth recent form

LDDDL

Recent form

Manchester United FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat Fulham FC1–1
  • Lvs Manchester City FC0–1
  • Wvs Sabah FK4–0
  • Dat Everton FC2–2
  • Wvs Ipswich Town FC5–2

AFC Bournemouth

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Liverpool FC0–1
  • Dvs Brentford FC2–2
  • Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
  • Dvs Everton FC1–1
  • Lat Manchester City FC1–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.