Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 7
AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland AFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AFC Bournemouth win45%
Draw23%
Sunderland AFC win32%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 1.72 – 1.41
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees AFC Bournemouth's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. Sunderland AFC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–07.5%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–06.5%
- 2–26.4%
- 0–16.2%
- 3–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AFC Bournemouth | Sunderland AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 20% |
AFC Bournemouth recent form
LWWWW
Sunderland AFC recent form
LLDLW
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat Chelsea FC1–5
- Lvs Liverpool FC0–1
- Dvs Brentford FC2–2
- Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
- Dvs Everton FC1–1
Sunderland AFC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–2
- Lat Manchester City FC3–5
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–2
- Dat Brentford FC1–1
- Wvs Fulham FC1–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
20%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
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Draw
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Away
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Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.