Premier League · Matchweek 7

AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland AFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AFC Bournemouth win47%
Draw24%
Sunderland AFC win30%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.33

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees AFC Bournemouth's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. Sunderland AFC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–07.0%
  • 0–16.3%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 3–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticAFC BournemouthSunderland AFC
Matches played55
Points per match0.600.80
Goals per match1.201.20
Goals conceded per match1.602.00
Home / away goals scored35
Home / away goals conceded48
Last 5 points34
Last 5 goals scored66
Last 5 goals conceded810
Win percentage0%20%

AFC Bournemouth recent form

LDDDL

Sunderland AFC recent form

LWDLL

Recent form

AFC Bournemouth

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Liverpool FC0–1
  • Dvs Brentford FC2–2
  • Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
  • Dvs Everton FC1–1
  • Lat Manchester City FC1–2

Sunderland AFC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat Manchester City FC3–5
  • Lvs Arsenal FC0–2
  • Dat Brentford FC1–1
  • Wvs Fulham FC1–0
  • Lat Ipswich Town FC1–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.