Premier League · Matchweek 1

Manchester City FC vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction

Sun 23 Aug, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 23 Aug, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Premier League
Round: Matchweek 1
Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England

United Matchday prediction

Manchester City FC win81%

Draw14%

AFC Bournemouth win4%

Predicted score: 2–0
Over 2.5 goals: 47%
Under 2.5 goals: 53%
BTTS yes: 25%

Over 1.5 goals: 72%
Over 3.5 goals: 25%
BTTS no: 75%
Expected goals: 2.23 – 0.32

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–019.4%
1–017.3%
3–014.4%
4–08.1%
0–07.8%
2–16.2%
1–15.6%
3–14.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	Manchester City FC	AFC Bournemouth
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	3.00	0.60
Goals per match	2.60	1.20
Goals conceded per match	1.00	1.60
Home / away goals scored	8	3
Home / away goals conceded	4	4
Last 5 points	15	3
Last 5 goals scored	13	6
Last 5 goals conceded	5	8
Win percentage	100%	0%

Manchester City FC recent form

WWWWW

AFC Bournemouth recent form

LDDDL

Recent form

Manchester City FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded

Lvs Aston Villa FC1–2
Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
Wvs Crystal Palace FC3–0
Wvs Brentford FC3–0
Dat Everton FC3–3

AFC Bournemouth

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

Dat Nottingham Forest FC1–1
Dvs Manchester City FC1–1
Wat Fulham FC1–0
Wvs Crystal Palace FC3–0
Dvs Leeds United FC2–2

Team news

Manchester City FC

All Manchester City FC news →

AFC Bournemouth

All AFC Bournemouth news →

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 23 Aug, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.