Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 8
Liverpool FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool, England
United Matchday prediction
Liverpool FC win28%
Draw21%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win51%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS yes
- 70%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 89%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 51%
- BTTS no
- 30%
- Expected goals
- 1.57 – 2.16
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Liverpool FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. Brighton & Hove Albion FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.8%
- 1–18.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 2–16.4%
- 1–36.3%
- 0–25.6%
- 0–15.2%
- 2–35.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Liverpool FC | Brighton & Hove Albion FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 16 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 60% |
Liverpool FC recent form
DDWDW
Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form
WLDWW
Recent form
Liverpool FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 3 conceded
- Wat AFC Bournemouth1–0
- Dvs Fulham FC0–0
- Wvs Atlético Madrid2–1
- Wat Ipswich Town FC2–0
- Dvs Nottingham Forest FC2–2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Arsenal FC3–0
- Wat Coventry City FC5–0
- Dvs Leeds United FC1–1
- Lat Chelsea FC3–4
- Wvs Aston Villa FC4–0
Team news
Liverpool FC
- Transfer rumors, news: Liverpool eye Endrick in case Minteh deal fails
- Transfer news: Crystal Palace chairman Steve Parish tells Liverpool accepting £50m Ismaila Sarr bid was 'never
- Cody Gakpo transfer news: Man City's proposed £80m move for Liverpool forward close to collapse
- Liverpool transfer news: No approaches for Harvey Elliott or Federico Chiesa but club willing to listen to off
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 512
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.1%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.4%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland AFC
Home
47%
Draw
24%
Away
30%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 59%BTTS: 60%
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Premier League
Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
33%
Draw
25%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.