Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
Lille OSC vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Lille OSC win56%
Draw22%
Stade Brestois 29 win22%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS yes
- 57%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS no
- 43%
- Expected goals
- 1.92 – 1.11
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Stade Brestois 29 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Lille OSC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–16.3%
- 1–25.7%
- 3–05.7%
- 2–25.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Lille OSC | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.10 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 11 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 40% |
Lille OSC recent form
WDDWW
Stade Brestois 29 recent form
WDLWW
Recent form
Lille OSC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Arsenal FC0–3
- Wvs Le Havre AC1–0
- Lat OGC Nice1–2
- Wvs ES Troyes AC2–0
- Lvs Real Betis Balompié2–3
Stade Brestois 29
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Angers SCO5–1
- Lat AJ Auxerre1–2
- Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–1
- Wat Le Havre AC2–1
- Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.