Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7

Lille OSC vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Sat 17 Oct, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 7
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Lille OSC win60%

Draw21%

Stade Brestois 29 win20%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 62%
Under 2.5 goals: 38%
BTTS yes: 59%

Over 1.5 goals: 83%
Over 3.5 goals: 40%
BTTS no: 41%
Expected goals: 2.09 – 1.11

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given Lille OSC's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Lille OSC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–19.9%
1–19.4%
2–08.9%
1–08.5%
3–16.9%
3–06.2%
2–25.5%
1–25.3%

Team comparison

Statistic	Lille OSC	Stade Brestois 29
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.00	1.00
Goals per match	1.60	1.40
Goals conceded per match	0.80	1.60
Home / away goals scored	4	5
Home / away goals conceded	2	5
Last 5 points	10	5
Last 5 goals scored	8	7
Last 5 goals conceded	4	8
Win percentage	60%	20%

Lille OSC recent form

WDWWL

Stade Brestois 29 recent form

DDWLL

Recent form

Lille OSC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

Lat OGC Nice1–2
Wvs ES Troyes AC2–0
Lvs Real Betis Balompié2–3
Wat Toulouse FC1–0
Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2

Stade Brestois 29

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

Lat AJ Auxerre1–2
Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–1
Wat Le Havre AC2–1
Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
Dat Le Mans FC2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.