Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Lille OSC vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Lille OSC win55%
Draw27%
Olympique Lyonnais win18%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 65%
- BTTS yes
- 37%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 62%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 16%
- BTTS no
- 63%
- Expected goals
- 1.41 – 0.68
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Lille OSC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. The model credits Olympique Lyonnais with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Lille OSC's home defensive numbers. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–017.4%
- 0–012.3%
- 2–012.3%
- 1–111.9%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–18.4%
- 3–05.8%
- 1–24.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Lille OSC | Olympique Lyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 11 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 50% |
Lille OSC recent form
WDDWW
Olympique Lyonnais recent form
LWLWL
Recent form
Lille OSC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Stade Rennais FC 19012–1
- Dat FK Bodø/Glimt0–0
- Wvs Racing Club de Lens1–0
- Dat AS Monaco FC1–1
- Lvs Galatasaray2–4
Olympique Lyonnais
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Stade Brestois 290–2
- Wvs Angers SCO2–0
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain0–2
- Wvs OGC Nice2–1
- Lat Racing Club de Lens1–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.