Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4

Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC Prediction

Sun 13 Sept, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Lille OSC win49%

Draw22%

ES Troyes AC win29%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 66%
Under 2.5 goals: 34%
BTTS yes: 66%

Over 1.5 goals: 86%
Over 3.5 goals: 45%
BTTS no: 34%
Expected goals: 1.96 – 1.46

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Lille OSC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–19.4%
2–19.2%
1–26.8%
2–26.7%
1–06.4%
2–06.3%
3–16.0%
0–14.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	Lille OSC	ES Troyes AC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.00	0.80
Goals per match	1.60	0.80
Goals conceded per match	0.80	2.20
Home / away goals scored	4	2
Home / away goals conceded	2	5
Last 5 points	10	4
Last 5 goals scored	8	4
Last 5 goals conceded	4	11
Win percentage	60%	20%

Lille OSC recent form

WDWWL

ES Troyes AC recent form

DWLLL

Recent form

Lille OSC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

Lvs Real Betis Balompié2–3
Wat Toulouse FC1–0
Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2
Wat Angers SCO2–0
Lvs AJ Auxerre0–2

ES Troyes AC

1W 1D 1L in the last 3 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–6
Wat FC Lorient2–1
Dvs Paris FC0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.