Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 16:15 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Lille OSC win78%
Draw13%
AJ Auxerre win9%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 2.82 – 0.85
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Lille OSC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. AJ Auxerre have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Lille OSC's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.2%
- 3–09.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 3–18.1%
- 1–07.2%
- 4–06.7%
- 1–16.1%
- 4–15.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Lille OSC | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.10 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.70 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 18 |
| Last 5 points | 11 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 30% |
Lille OSC recent form
WDDWW
AJ Auxerre recent form
LWDLL
Recent form
Lille OSC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Stade Rennais FC 19012–1
- Dat FK Bodø/Glimt0–0
- Wvs Racing Club de Lens1–0
- Dat AS Monaco FC1–1
- Lvs Galatasaray2–4
AJ Auxerre
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 12 conceded
- Lvs Paris FC0–1
- Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–5
- Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
- Wat Le Havre AC3–1
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19011–4
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Lorient
Home
31%
Draw
28%
Away
41%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 42%BTTS: 48%
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AS Monaco FC vs Angers SCO
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 48%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.