Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
Le Mans FC vs Toulouse FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Le Mans FC win42%
Draw21%
Toulouse FC win37%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS yes
- 73%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS no
- 27%
- Expected goals
- 1.97 – 1.86
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Toulouse FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.0%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–15.1%
- 3–24.8%
- 1–34.6%
- 2–34.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Le Mans FC | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 10% | 30% |
Le Mans FC recent form
LLDLD
Toulouse FC recent form
DWDLW
Recent form
Le Mans FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain1–3
- Wvs FC Lorient2–1
- Dvs Racing Club de Lens2–2
- Dat OGC Nice1–1
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19012–3
Toulouse FC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Dat AS Monaco FC2–2
- Wvs Le Havre AC3–2
- Dat FC Lorient2–2
- Lvs Lille OSC0–1
- Dat Stade Brestois 292–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 25 September 2026
Last updated: 16 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.