Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7

Le Mans FC vs Toulouse FC Prediction

Fri 16 Oct, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 7
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Le Mans FC win46%

Draw21%

Toulouse FC win32%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 71%
Under 2.5 goals: 29%
BTTS yes: 70%

Over 1.5 goals: 88%
Over 3.5 goals: 50%
BTTS no: 30%
Expected goals: 2.02 – 1.67

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Toulouse FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.5%
1–18.4%
2–27.1%
1–27.0%
3–15.7%
2–05.1%
1–05.1%
3–24.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	Le Mans FC	Toulouse FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.20	1.00
Goals per match	1.80	1.40
Goals conceded per match	1.80	1.80
Home / away goals scored	6	4
Home / away goals conceded	5	4
Last 5 points	6	5
Last 5 goals scored	9	7
Last 5 goals conceded	9	9
Win percentage	20%	20%

Le Mans FC recent form

DLDDW

Toulouse FC recent form

LDLDW

Recent form

Le Mans FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

Wvs FC Lorient2–1
Dvs Racing Club de Lens2–2
Dat OGC Nice1–1
Lat Stade Rennais FC 19012–3
Dvs Stade Brestois 292–2

Toulouse FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

Wvs Le Havre AC3–2
Dat FC Lorient2–2
Lvs Lille OSC0–1
Dat Stade Brestois 292–2
Lvs Olympique Lyonnais0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.