Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4
Le Mans FC vs Racing Club de Lens Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 13 Sept, 16:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Le Mans FC win39%
Draw23%
Racing Club de Lens win38%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 1.64 – 1.63
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.2%
- 0–16.2%
- 2–05.1%
- 0–25.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Le Mans FC | Racing Club de Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.90 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 10% | 40% |
Le Mans FC recent form
LLDLD
Racing Club de Lens recent form
WWWLL
Recent form
Le Mans FC
0W 2D 1L in the last 3 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat OGC Nice1–1
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19012–3
- Dvs Stade Brestois 292–2
Racing Club de Lens
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 7 conceded
- Wat SK Slavia Praha3–2
- Lvs FC Lorient0–1
- Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–2
- Wvs AJ Auxerre5–2
- Wat Olympique Lyonnais4–0
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.