Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4

Le Mans FC vs Racing Club de Lens Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 13 Sept, 16:15 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Le Mans FC win39%
Draw23%
Racing Club de Lens win38%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
41%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.63

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.2%
  • 0–16.2%
  • 2–05.1%
  • 0–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticLe Mans FCRacing Club de Lens
Matches played55
Points per match1.200.80
Goals per match1.801.80
Goals conceded per match1.801.80
Home / away goals scored64
Home / away goals conceded56
Last 5 points64
Last 5 goals scored99
Last 5 goals conceded99
Win percentage20%20%

Le Mans FC recent form

DLDDW

Racing Club de Lens recent form

WLLDL

Recent form

Le Mans FC

0W 2D 1L in the last 3 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat OGC Nice1–1
  • Lat Stade Rennais FC 19012–3
  • Dvs Stade Brestois 292–2

Racing Club de Lens

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat SK Slavia Praha3–2
  • Lvs FC Lorient0–1
  • Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–2
  • Wvs AJ Auxerre5–2
  • Wat Olympique Lyonnais4–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.