Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Le Mans FC vs Lille OSC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 28 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Le Mans FC win16%
Draw21%
Lille OSC win63%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS yes
- 49%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS no
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 0.84 – 1.93
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Le Mans FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Lille OSC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Lille OSC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.1%
- 0–211.6%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–37.5%
- 1–36.3%
- 0–06.3%
- 1–05.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Le Mans FC | Lille OSC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.10 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.90 | 0.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 10% | 60% |
Le Mans FC recent form
LLDLD
Lille OSC recent form
WDDWW
Recent form
Le Mans FC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 10 conceded
- Dvs AS Monaco FC1–1
- Lat ES Troyes AC0–2
- Dat AJ Auxerre1–1
- Lvs Toulouse FC0–3
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain1–3
Lille OSC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Stade Rennais FC 19012–1
- Dat FK Bodø/Glimt0–0
- Wvs Racing Club de Lens1–0
- Dat AS Monaco FC1–1
- Lvs Galatasaray2–4
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.