Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5

Le Mans FC vs FC Lorient Prediction

Sat 19 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Le Mans FC win33%

Draw27%

FC Lorient win39%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 44%
Under 2.5 goals: 56%
BTTS yes: 50%

Over 1.5 goals: 70%
Over 3.5 goals: 23%
BTTS no: 50%
Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.29

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Le Mans FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. FC Lorient have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.9%
0–111.1%
1–010.0%
0–08.7%
1–28.3%
2–17.5%
0–27.2%
2–05.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	Le Mans FC	FC Lorient
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.20	1.00
Goals per match	1.80	1.00
Goals conceded per match	1.80	1.20
Home / away goals scored	6	2
Home / away goals conceded	5	2
Last 5 points	6	5
Last 5 goals scored	9	5
Last 5 goals conceded	9	6
Win percentage	20%	20%

Le Mans FC recent form

DLDDW

FC Lorient recent form

DLWDL

Recent form

Le Mans FC

0W 3D 1L in the last 4 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

Dvs Racing Club de Lens2–2
Dat OGC Nice1–1
Lat Stade Rennais FC 19012–3
Dvs Stade Brestois 292–2

FC Lorient

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
Wat Racing Club de Lens1–0
Lvs ES Troyes AC1–2
Dat OGC Nice0–0
Lvs Le Havre AC0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.