Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7

Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre Prediction

Sun 18 Oct, 16:15

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 7
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Le Havre AC win45%

Draw24%

AJ Auxerre win31%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 55%
Under 2.5 goals: 45%
BTTS yes: 58%

Over 1.5 goals: 79%
Over 3.5 goals: 33%
BTTS no: 42%
Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.29

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Le Havre AC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against AJ Auxerre, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–111.4%
2–19.2%
1–08.9%
1–27.4%
2–07.1%
0–17.1%
2–25.9%
0–05.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	Le Havre AC	AJ Auxerre
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.40	1.20
Goals per match	0.80	1.40
Goals conceded per match	1.40	2.40
Home / away goals scored	1	3
Home / away goals conceded	3	8
Last 5 points	2	6
Last 5 goals scored	4	7
Last 5 goals conceded	7	12
Win percentage	0%	40%

Le Havre AC recent form

LDLDL

AJ Auxerre recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

Le Havre AC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

Lat Toulouse FC2–3
Dvs Angers SCO0–0
Lvs Stade Brestois 291–2
Dat Olympique Lyonnais1–1
Lvs AS Monaco FC0–1

AJ Auxerre

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded

Wvs Stade Brestois 292–1
Wvs OGC Nice1–0
Lat Olympique Lyonnais1–3
Lvs Angers SCO1–3
Lat Racing Club de Lens2–5

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.