Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Le Havre AC win46%
Draw25%
AJ Auxerre win29%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 77%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.58 – 1.21
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Le Havre AC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against AJ Auxerre, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.6%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–27.1%
- 0–06.1%
- 2–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Le Havre AC | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 13 | 18 |
| Last 5 points | 0 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 15 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 30% |
Le Havre AC recent form
LLLLL
AJ Auxerre recent form
LWDLL
Recent form
Le Havre AC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Lille OSC0–1
- Lat Toulouse FC2–3
- Dvs Angers SCO0–0
- Lvs Stade Brestois 291–2
- Dat Olympique Lyonnais1–1
AJ Auxerre
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19011–4
- Wvs Stade Brestois 292–1
- Wvs OGC Nice1–0
- Lat Olympique Lyonnais1–3
- Lvs Angers SCO1–3
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.