Premier League · Matchweek 1

Ipswich Town FC vs Sunderland AFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
Portman Road, Ipswich, England

United Matchday prediction

Ipswich Town FC win49%
Draw25%
Sunderland AFC win26%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
53%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
47%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.09

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 0–06.8%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 2–25.1%

Team comparison

StatisticIpswich Town FCSunderland AFC
Matches played55
Points per match1.200.80
Goals per match1.401.20
Goals conceded per match2.202.00
Home / away goals scored25
Home / away goals conceded38
Last 5 points64
Last 5 goals scored76
Last 5 goals conceded1110
Win percentage40%20%

Ipswich Town FC recent form

WLLWL

Sunderland AFC recent form

LWDLL

Recent form

Ipswich Town FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC3–0
  • Dat Southampton FC2–2
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion FC0–0
  • Wat Charlton Athletic FC2–1
  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2

Sunderland AFC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wvs Chelsea FC2–1
  • Wat Everton FC3–1
  • Dvs Manchester United FC0–0
  • Dat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–1
  • Lvs Nottingham Forest FC0–5

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.