Premier League · Matchweek 3

Ipswich Town FC vs Liverpool FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 4 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
Portman Road, Ipswich, England

United Matchday prediction

Ipswich Town FC win50%
Draw21%
Liverpool FC win29%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
2.07 – 1.55

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Liverpool FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 2–05.7%
  • 1–05.5%
  • 3–24.8%

Team comparison

StatisticIpswich Town FCLiverpool FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.201.80
Goals per match1.401.40
Goals conceded per match2.200.80
Home / away goals scored25
Home / away goals conceded32
Last 5 points69
Last 5 goals scored77
Last 5 goals conceded114
Win percentage40%40%

Ipswich Town FC recent form

WLLWL

Liverpool FC recent form

DDWDW

Recent form

Ipswich Town FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Manchester United FC2–5
  • Wvs Sunderland AFC2–1
  • Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC3–0
  • Dat Southampton FC2–2
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion FC0–0

Liverpool FC

0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dvs Nottingham Forest FC2–2
  • Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
  • Dvs Brentford FC1–1
  • Lat Aston Villa FC2–4
  • Dvs Chelsea FC1–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Fri 4 Sept, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 4 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.