Premier League · Matchweek 1

Hull City AFC vs Manchester United FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull, England

United Matchday prediction

Hull City AFC win26%
Draw22%
Manchester United FC win53%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
63%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
37%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.98

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Manchester United FC with an above-average away defensive record. Manchester United FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Manchester United FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.6%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 0–27.2%
  • 2–16.4%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 1–36.3%
  • 1–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticHull City AFCManchester United FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.601.00
Goals per match1.201.60
Goals conceded per match0.801.60
Home / away goals scored23
Home / away goals conceded05
Last 5 points85
Last 5 goals scored68
Last 5 goals conceded48
Win percentage40%20%

Hull City AFC recent form

WWDDL

Manchester United FC recent form

LWDLD

Recent form

Hull City AFC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Middlesbrough FC1–0
  • Wat Millwall FC2–0
  • Dvs Millwall FC0–0
  • Wvs Norwich City FC2–1
  • Lat Charlton Athletic FC1–2

Manchester United FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Brighton & Hove Albion FC3–0
  • Wvs Nottingham Forest FC3–2
  • Dat Sunderland AFC0–0
  • Wvs Liverpool FC3–2
  • Wvs Brentford FC2–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 12:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.