Premier League · Matchweek 9

Hull City AFC vs Ipswich Town FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull, England

United Matchday prediction

Hull City AFC win61%
Draw22%
Ipswich Town FC win17%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
47%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.90 – 0.90

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Hull City AFC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Ipswich Town FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Hull City AFC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.6%
  • 2–011.0%
  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.9%
  • 3–16.2%
  • 0–06.1%
  • 0–15.5%

Team comparison

StatisticHull City AFCIpswich Town FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.601.20
Goals per match1.201.40
Goals conceded per match0.802.20
Home / away goals scored25
Home / away goals conceded08
Last 5 points86
Last 5 goals scored67
Last 5 goals conceded411
Win percentage40%40%

Hull City AFC recent form

WWDDL

Ipswich Town FC recent form

WLLWL

Recent form

Hull City AFC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat Newcastle United FC1–2
  • Dat Chelsea FC2–2
  • Dvs Aston Villa FC0–0
  • Wat Coventry City FC1–0
  • Wvs Manchester United FC2–0

Ipswich Town FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Everton FC0–1
  • Wat Crystal Palace FC3–2
  • Lvs Liverpool FC0–2
  • Lat Manchester United FC2–5
  • Wvs Sunderland AFC2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
534
1X2 accuracy
46.6%
BTTS accuracy
56.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
11.2%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.