Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 9
Chelsea FC vs Manchester United FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Chelsea FC win45%
Draw21%
Manchester United FC win35%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS yes
- 74%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 26%
- Expected goals
- 2.10 – 1.84
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Chelsea FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.9%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–26.9%
- 3–15.5%
- 3–25.1%
- 2–34.5%
- 2–04.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Chelsea FC | Manchester United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 20% |
Chelsea FC recent form
WWLDL
Manchester United FC recent form
LWDLD
Recent form
Chelsea FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat Brentford FC0–3
- Dvs Hull City AFC2–2
- Lat Arsenal FC1–2
- Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC4–3
- Wat Fulham FC3–2
Manchester United FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Fulham FC1–1
- Lvs Manchester City FC0–1
- Wvs Sabah FK4–0
- Dat Everton FC2–2
- Wvs Ipswich Town FC5–2
Team news
Manchester United FC
- Man United urged to stump up £80million for Harry Kane - even at 33
- 'No disrespect to Tottenham - but I was just desperate to join Manchester United'
- I agreed to leave Man United for Tottenham – then Sir Alex Ferguson called me into his office
- Man United latest: JJ Gabriel exit warning sent and fan group plans protest at Old Trafford
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 534
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.6%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 11.2%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.