Premier League · Matchweek 8

Hull City AFC vs Brentford FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull, England

United Matchday prediction

Hull City AFC win44%
Draw28%
Brentford FC win28%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.01

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Hull City AFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. Brentford FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Brentford FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–012.9%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 1–26.5%
  • 0–24.9%

Team comparison

StatisticHull City AFCBrentford FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.601.80
Goals per match1.202.00
Goals conceded per match0.800.80
Home / away goals scored23
Home / away goals conceded03
Last 5 points89
Last 5 goals scored610
Last 5 goals conceded44
Win percentage40%40%

Hull City AFC recent form

WWDDL

Brentford FC recent form

WDDDW

Recent form

Hull City AFC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat Newcastle United FC1–2
  • Dat Chelsea FC2–2
  • Dvs Aston Villa FC0–0
  • Wat Coventry City FC1–0
  • Wvs Manchester United FC2–0

Brentford FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Chelsea FC3–0
  • Dat AFC Bournemouth2–2
  • Dvs Sunderland AFC1–1
  • Dat Leeds United FC1–1
  • Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC3–0

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.