Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 3
Hull City AFC vs Aston Villa FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- MKM Stadium, Hull, England
United Matchday prediction
Hull City AFC win80%
Draw13%
Aston Villa FC win7%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 45%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS no
- 55%
- Expected goals
- 2.70 – 0.65
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Aston Villa FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Hull City AFC's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Hull City AFC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.8%
- 3–011.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 4–07.8%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–16.2%
- 4–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Hull City AFC | Aston Villa FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 0 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 20% |
Hull City AFC recent form
WWDDL
Aston Villa FC recent form
LLDLW
Recent form
Hull City AFC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 0 conceded
- Wat Coventry City FC1–0
- Wvs Manchester United FC2–0
- Wvs Middlesbrough FC1–0
- Wat Millwall FC2–0
- Dvs Millwall FC0–0
Aston Villa FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–4
- Wat Manchester City FC2–1
- Wvs Liverpool FC4–2
- Dat Burnley FC2–2
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
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Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
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Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.