Bundesliga · Matchweek 2

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Sun 6 Sept, 14:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 6 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 2
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Hamburger SV win54%

Draw23%

1. FSV Mainz 05 win23%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 55%
Under 2.5 goals: 45%
BTTS yes: 55%

Over 1.5 goals: 78%
Over 3.5 goals: 32%
BTTS no: 45%
Expected goals: 1.79 – 1.09

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Hamburger SV have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. 1. FSV Mainz 05 have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–111.0%
1–010.1%
2–19.8%
2–09.0%
0–16.1%
1–26.0%
3–15.8%
0–05.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	Hamburger SV	1. FSV Mainz 05
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	0.75	1.75
Goals per match	0.50	2.50
Goals conceded per match	3.25	1.50
Home / away goals scored	2	9
Home / away goals conceded	6	3
Last 5 points	3	7
Last 5 goals scored	2	10
Last 5 goals conceded	13	6
Win percentage	25%	50%

Hamburger SV recent form

LLLW

1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form

DWLW

Recent form

Hamburger SV

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

Lat Borussia Dortmund0–2
Dat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–1
Wvs SC Freiburg3–2
Wat Eintracht Frankfurt2–1
Lvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2

1. FSV Mainz 05

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

Dvs SC Paderborn 070–0
Wat 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–0
Lvs 1. FC Union Berlin1–3
Wat FC St. Pauli 19102–1
Lvs Bayern Munich3–4

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.