Bundesliga · Matchweek 4

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln Prediction

Sat 19 Sept, 14:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Hamburger SV win30%

Draw20%

1. FC Köln win50%

Predicted score: 1–2
Over 2.5 goals: 78%
Under 2.5 goals: 22%
BTTS yes: 75%

Over 1.5 goals: 92%
Over 3.5 goals: 59%
BTTS no: 25%
Expected goals: 1.80 – 2.32

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Hamburger SV's home attacking output as weaker than the Bundesliga baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–27.9%
2–27.1%
1–16.8%
2–16.1%
1–36.1%
2–35.5%
0–24.4%
3–24.2%

Team comparison

Statistic	Hamburger SV	1. FC Köln
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	0.75	1.00
Goals per match	0.50	1.50
Goals conceded per match	3.25	2.25
Home / away goals scored	2	2
Home / away goals conceded	6	6
Last 5 points	3	4
Last 5 goals scored	2	6
Last 5 goals conceded	13	9
Win percentage	25%	25%

Hamburger SV recent form

LLLW

1. FC Köln recent form

WLDL

Recent form

Hamburger SV

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 15 conceded

Lat RB Leipzig0–5
Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 050–5
Lat Borussia Dortmund0–2
Dat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–1
Wvs SC Freiburg3–2

1. FC Köln

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 15 conceded

Dvs SV Werder Bremen1–1
Lat VfB Stuttgart1–4
Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
Lat Bayern Munich1–5
Lvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18461–3

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.