Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 4
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Hamburger SV win30%
Draw20%
1. FC Köln win50%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 75%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS no
- 25%
- Expected goals
- 1.80 – 2.32
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Hamburger SV's home attacking output as weaker than the Bundesliga baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.9%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–16.8%
- 2–16.1%
- 1–36.1%
- 2–35.5%
- 0–24.4%
- 3–24.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Hamburger SV | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.22 | 1.56 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 22% |
Hamburger SV recent form
WWLLW
1. FC Köln recent form
WLDDL
Recent form
Hamburger SV
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 15 conceded
- Lat RB Leipzig0–5
- Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 050–5
- Lat Borussia Dortmund0–2
- Dat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–1
- Wvs SC Freiburg3–2
1. FC Köln
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 15 conceded
- Dvs SV Werder Bremen1–1
- Lat VfB Stuttgart1–4
- Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
- Lat Bayern Munich1–5
- Lvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18461–3
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.