Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 25
Grêmio FBPA vs Chapecoense AF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 30 Aug, 22:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 25
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Grêmio FBPA win23%
Draw23%
Chapecoense AF win54%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS yes
- 57%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS no
- 43%
- Expected goals
- 1.12 – 1.83
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Grêmio FBPA's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. Chapecoense AF arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–28.8%
- 1–36.0%
- 2–16.0%
- 1–05.9%
- 2–25.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Grêmio FBPA | Chapecoense AF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 0.57 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 33% |
Grêmio FBPA recent form
WLLLD
Chapecoense AF recent form
WLWLD
Recent form
Grêmio FBPA
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat RB Bragantino0–1
- Lat CA Mineiro0–3
- Wat SC Recife4–0
- Lvs Fluminense FC1–2
- Wvs SE Palmeiras3–2
Chapecoense AF
1W 1D 0L in the last 2 · 4 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
- Dvs EC Bahia3–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.