Serie A
AC Milan vs Atalanta BC
Home
74%
Draw
17%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 11
Genoa CFC vs AC Milan Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Genoa CFC win18%
Draw21%
AC Milan win61%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.00 – 2.02
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Genoa CFC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. AC Milan have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. AC Milan arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.0%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 0–36.7%
- 1–36.7%
- 2–25.0%
- 2–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Genoa CFC | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 0.57 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 0.71 | 1.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.86 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 50% |
Genoa CFC recent form
LDLWL
AC Milan recent form
WDDWD
Recent form
Genoa CFC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat AS Roma0–2
- Wvs ACF Fiorentina2–1
- Lat Parma Calcio 19131–2
- Dvs Frosinone Calcio1–1
- Lvs Como 19071–4
AC Milan
2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Dat US Sassuolo Calcio1–1
- Wvs US Lecce3–0
- Dat SS Lazio2–2
- Dat Juventus1–1
- Wvs Venezia FC2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 694
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.6%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.6%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 57.8%
- Exact score
- 10.4%
Related predictions
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AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio
Home
24%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Home
22%
Draw
23%
Away
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Torino FC vs Como 1907
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23%
Draw
23%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.