Serie A · Matchweek 7

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC Prediction

Sun 18 Oct, 17:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local): Sun 18 Oct, 18:00 (CEST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 7
Venue: Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

AC Milan win74%

Draw16%

Atalanta BC win9%

Predicted score: 2–0
Over 2.5 goals: 59%
Under 2.5 goals: 41%
BTTS yes: 45%

Over 1.5 goals: 81%
Over 3.5 goals: 36%
BTTS no: 55%
Expected goals: 2.35 – 0.69

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AC Milan have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given AC Milan's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour AC Milan, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

2–013.2%
1–011.2%
3–010.3%
2–19.1%
1–17.8%
3–17.1%
4–06.1%
0–04.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	AC Milan	Atalanta BC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.20	1.20
Goals per match	2.00	1.00
Goals conceded per match	0.80	1.40
Home / away goals scored	5	1
Home / away goals conceded	0	4
Last 5 points	11	6
Last 5 goals scored	10	5
Last 5 goals conceded	4	7
Win percentage	60%	40%

AC Milan recent form

WWDDW

Atalanta BC recent form

WWLLL

Recent form

AC Milan

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

Wvs US Lecce3–0
Dat SS Lazio2–2
Dat Juventus1–1
Wvs Venezia FC2–0
Wat Torino FC2–1

Atalanta BC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

Lat Juventus0–2
Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
Lat AS Roma1–2
Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.